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ETH price EOY ·closes in 3mo

ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means 3,750 to 3,999.99

24h volume
0
37.5k lifetime
Open interest
26.4k
+5,626 over 90d
Spread
0¢
104 × 0.71 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 3¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 98¢
Recent buying75% YES · 25% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volJun 23Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,6824¢
  • ask2464¢
  • ask6944¢
  • ask4893¢
  • ask743¢
  • ask23¢
  • ask403¢
  • ask0.713¢
spread0¢mid 2¢
  • bid1042¢
  • bid552¢
  • bid352¢
  • bid1312¢
  • bid352¢
  • bid492¢
  • bid1,0762¢
  • bid572¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' ETHUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST is between 3750.00-3999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 25 · 11:05 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
3750
cap
3999.99
ticker
KXETHY-27JAN0100-B3875
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 75% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago2¢10bought yes
2d ago2¢13bought yes
2d ago3¢1.49bought yes
2d ago2¢14bought yes
2d ago2¢1.49bought yes
2d ago2¢8.51bought yes
2d ago2¢14bought yes
2d ago3¢0.03bought yes
2d ago2¢15bought yes
2d ago3¢498bought yes
2d ago2¢1.48bought yes
2d ago2¢16bought yes
2d ago2¢15bought yes
2d ago2¢1bought yes
2d ago2¢284bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.