EU referendums·closes in 40mo

Will Greece hold a referendum on leaving the EU?

YES means Greece

24h volume
0
1,425 lifetime
Open interest
99
Spread
200 × 1,000 at the touch
24h range
1 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
92¢ / 99¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask7,53097¢
  • ask1,94285¢
  • ask20084¢
  • ask4683¢
  • ask38258¢
  • ask1,83446¢
  • ask1345¢
  • ask1,000
spreadmid
  • bid200
  • bid200
  • bid2,000
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Greece holds a national referendum on leaving the European Union before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Feb 26, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXEUREF-30-GRE
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 1 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
19d ago9bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.