Will the EU enact a social media ban for children before Apr 1, 2028?
YES means Before Apr 1, 2028
- 24h volume
- 0
- 0 lifetime
- Open interest
- 0
- +0 over 30d
- Spread
- 8¢
- 5 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
A YES contract costs 38¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 70¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask10099¢
- ask70690¢
- ask29488¢
- ask20087¢
- ask74270¢
- ask669¢
- ask38168¢
- ask20038¢
- bid530¢
- bid20029¢
- bid24610¢
- bid8553¢
- bid1001¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If a social media ban for children has been enacted in the European Union after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. A social media ban for children means an EU-level measure prohibiting people below a stated age of 18 or lower from holding or accessing accounts on a class of social media platforms across the European Union. Parental consent must not bypass the prohibition for the barred age group; a separate consent-based tier for older children does not disqualify it. The following do NOT constitute enactment: Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders Age verification, parental consent, platform safety requirements, content restrictions and Member-State-only laws do NOT qualify on their own. The prohibition must have legal effect, including completion of required waiting periods or implementation; adoption or publication alone does NOT qualify. Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.
- opened
- Aug 28 · 10:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Apr 1, 2028 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Apr 8, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXEUSOCIALBAN-28APR01-28APR01
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.