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F1 Retire·closes in 43mo

Will Max Verstappen announce his retirement before the 2027 F1 season?

YES means Before the 2027 season

24h volume
0
10.8k lifetime
Open interest
2,123
+0 over 7d
Spread
3¢
23 × 345 at the touch
24h range
–
49 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 4¢
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 99¢
Recent buying32% YES · 68% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6.7351¢
  • ask56348¢
  • ask27447¢
  • ask924¢
  • ask622¢
  • ask521¢
  • ask617¢
  • ask3454¢
spread3¢mid 3¢
  • bid231¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Max Verstappen announces his retirement from F1 before the 2027 F1 season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.

Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 30 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Apr 1, 2030 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Apr 1, 2030 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXF1RETIRE-30VERSTAPPEN-2027
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 49 trades, 32% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6d ago4¢47bought yes
15d ago2¢87bought yes
15d ago3¢8bought yes
15d ago4¢45bought yes
15d ago2¢4bought yes
15d ago2¢40bought yes
16d ago2¢2.18bought yes
18d ago1¢410bought no
19d ago1¢23bought no
20d ago1¢10bought no
21d ago1¢1bought no
21d ago2¢1bought yes
22d ago1¢9.19bought no
22d ago1¢32bought no
26d ago2¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.