F1 Retire·closes in 43mo

Will Max Verstappen announce his retirement before the 2029 F1 season?

YES means Before the 2029 season

24h volume: 0; 708 lifetime
Open interest: 415; +0 over 7d
Spread: 76¢; 5 × 12 at the touch
24h range: 64¢ – 90¢

Chance of YES

90%

A YES contract costs 88¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

10%

costs 88¢

YES bid / ask

12¢ / 88¢

NO bid / ask

12¢ / 88¢

24h low 64¢24h high 90¢

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask8899¢
ask1,11598¢
ask95190¢
ask30089¢
ask1288¢

spread76¢mid 50¢

bid512¢
bid4911¢
bid1010¢
bid2559¢
bid2508¢
bid2507¢
bid503¢
bid1,0312¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Max Verstappen announces his retirement from F1 before the 2029 F1 season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.

Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources

opened: Mar 30 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes: Apr 1, 2030 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by: Apr 1, 2030 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXF1RETIRE-30VERSTAPPEN-2029

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.