Ford Annual KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Ford Motor Company report Above 2.05 million u.s. vehicle sales volume in 2026?

YES means Above 2.05 million

24h volume
0
6,172 lifetime
Open interest
2,253
+0 over 24h
Spread
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 93¢

YES bid / ask
/ 13¢
NO bid / ask
87¢ / 93¢
Recent buying17% YES · 83% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢10¢20¢30¢volSep 20, 7:15 AMSep 21, 4:05 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask75053¢
  • ask9252¢
  • ask3550¢
  • ask23329¢
  • ask7527¢
  • ask20015¢
  • ask414¢
  • ask513¢
spreadmid 10¢
  • bid5
  • bid200
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Ford Motor Company reports Above 2049999.9999999998 u.s. vehicle sales volume in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
2050000
ticker
KXFA-28JANUSSALES-2049999.9999999998
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 17% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago5bought no
10d ago10¢20bought no
10d ago1bought no
10d ago3bought no
10d ago122bought no
10d ago11¢0.11bought yes
10d ago11¢0.11bought yes
11d ago10¢10bought no
13d ago22¢53bought yes
13d ago22¢51bought yes
13d ago20¢700bought no
13d ago23¢200bought no
13d ago31¢25bought no
13d ago30¢233bought no
13d ago30¢500bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.