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Compass Pathways Drug Approval·closes in 3mo

Will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression before Jan 1, 2027?

YES means Before Jan 1, 2027

24h volume
13
4,599 lifetime
Open interest
2,170
+2,051 over 90d
Spread
5¢
5 × 3.32 at the touch
24h range
6¢ – 59¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
38%+8

A YES contract costs 38¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
62%

costs 67¢

YES bid / ask
33¢ / 38¢
NO bid / ask
62¢ / 67¢
24h low 6¢24h high 59¢
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢volJun 28Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5995¢
  • ask3594¢
  • ask24785¢
  • ask1,29984¢
  • ask670¢
  • ask50040¢
  • ask139¢
  • ask3.3238¢
spread5¢mid 36¢
  • bid533¢
  • bid50032¢
  • bid15330¢
  • bid2,0674¢
  • bid1993¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the FDA approves COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression for marketing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 16 · 2:30 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXFDAAPPROVALDATECMPS-360-27JAN01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago38¢13bought yes
3d ago30¢0.13bought no
3d ago30¢0.38bought no
3d ago37¢0.51bought yes
5d ago33¢2.88bought no
5d ago34¢1bought no
5d ago37¢10bought no
5d ago36¢5bought no
6d ago35¢10bought no
6d ago37¢20bought yes
6d ago39¢212bought yes
6d ago38¢15bought yes
8d ago30¢15bought yes
9d ago29¢75bought no
9d ago29¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.