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Compass Pathways Drug Approval·closes in 9mo

When will the FDA approve COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression?

YES means Before July 2027

24h volume
0
8,643 lifetime
Open interest
3,300
+0 over 24h
Spread
2¢
500 × 7.57 at the touch
24h range
–
23 recent trades
Chance of YES
86%

A YES contract costs 81¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
14%

costs 21¢

YES bid / ask
79¢ / 81¢
NO bid / ask
19¢ / 21¢
Recent buying89% YES · 11% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢75¢volSep 20, 7:03 AMSep 20, 11:15 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3,34799¢
  • ask1,30398¢
  • ask1,11197¢
  • ask20094¢
  • ask14193¢
  • ask50087¢
  • ask4482¢
  • ask7.5781¢
spread2¢mid 80¢
  • bid50079¢
  • bid850¢
  • bid6637¢
  • bid65036¢
  • bid10925¢
  • bid646¢
  • bid5505¢
  • bid8884¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the FDA approves COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression for marketing before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 24 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jul 1, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXFDAAPPROVALDATECMPS-360-27JUL01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 23 trades, 89% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6d ago86¢2.3bought yes
14d ago86¢1bought yes
15d ago80¢4.73bought no
1mo ago79¢4bought no
1mo ago79¢25bought no
2mo ago85¢1.16bought yes
2mo ago79¢8.75bought no
2mo ago80¢5bought no
2mo ago80¢5bought no
2mo ago79¢1.47bought no
2mo ago79¢492bought yes
2mo ago94¢68bought yes
2mo ago90¢1.31bought yes
2mo ago93¢31bought yes
2mo ago78¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.