Fed funds rate·closes in 10mo

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed's Jul 28, 2027 meeting?

YES means Above 3.00%

24h volume
0
1 lifetime
Open interest
1
+0 over 90d
Spread
93¢
140 × 34 at the touch
24h range
1 recent trades
Chance of YES
99%

A YES contract costs 98¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
1%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
/ 98¢
NO bid / ask
/ 95¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 19, 4:00 AMSep 21, 4:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4999¢
  • ask3498¢
spread93¢mid 52¢
  • bid140
  • bid51
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.00% following the Federal Reserve's Jul 28, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Jul 28, 2027 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.

opened
Sep 18 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jul 28, 2027 · 5:55 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jul 28, 2027 · 6:05 PM UTC
floor
3
ticker
KXFED-27JUL-T3.00
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 1 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago99¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.