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Fed funds rate·closes in 9mo

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.50% following the Fed's Jun 9, 2027 meeting?

YES means Above 5.50%

24h volume
0
0 lifetime
Open interest
0
+0 over 90d
Spread
48¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 53¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
5¢ / 53¢
NO bid / ask
47¢ / 95¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask10198¢
  • ask554¢
  • ask553¢
spread48¢mid 29¢
  • bid55¢
  • bid4.094¢
  • bid313¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 5.50% following the Federal Reserve's Jun 9, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Jun 9, 2027 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jun 9, 2027 · 5:55 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jun 9, 2027 · 6:05 PM UTC
floor
5.5
ticker
KXFED-27JUN-T5.50
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.