Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.25% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?
YES means Above 0.25%
- 24h volume
- 0
- 872 lifetime
- Open interest
- 361
- Spread
- 7¢
- 46 × 0 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 3 recent trades
A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 7¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- bid4693¢
- bid10092¢
- bid5165¢
- bid18564¢
- bid662¢
- bid160¢
- bid6,37056¢
- bid94155¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 0.25% following the Federal Reserve's Mar 17, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Mar 17, 2027 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.
- opened
- Oct 13, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Mar 17, 2027 · 5:55 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Mar 17, 2027 · 6:05 PM UTC
- floor
- 0.25
- ticker
- KXFED-27MAR-T0.25
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 3 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo ago | 99¢ | 3 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 99¢ | 17 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 99¢ | 1.8 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.