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Fed meeting·closes in 12mo

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2027 meeting?

YES means Fed maintains rate

24h volume
0
973 lifetime
Open interest
481
Spread
8¢
111 × 28 at the touch
24h range
–
48 recent trades
Chance of YES
59%

A YES contract costs 67¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
41%

costs 41¢

YES bid / ask
59¢ / 67¢
NO bid / ask
33¢ / 41¢
Recent buying81% YES · 19% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on September 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 6, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 15, 2027 · 5:59 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 15, 2027 · 6:05 PM UTC
ticker
KXFEDDECISION-27SEP-H0
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 48 trades, 81% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago59¢1bought no
6d ago60¢10bought no
6d ago61¢10bought yes
9d ago60¢2bought no
9d ago76¢0.23bought yes
9d ago75¢1bought yes
16d ago63¢6.18bought yes
20d ago61¢1bought no
27d ago63¢47bought no
27d ago61¢39bought no
27d ago75¢12bought yes
27d ago77¢6bought yes
27d ago75¢38bought yes
27d ago74¢15bought yes
27d ago75¢15bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.