Fed governor nominee·closes in 9mo

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jul 1, 2027?

YES means Before Jul 1, 2027

24h volume
0
59 lifetime
Open interest
28
+0 over 30d
Spread
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
1 recent trades
Chance of YES
62%

A YES contract costs 62¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
38%

costs 44¢

YES bid / ask
56¢ / 62¢
NO bid / ask
38¢ / 44¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask30990¢
  • ask20089¢
  • ask20062¢
spreadmid 59¢
  • bid556¢
  • bid20055¢
  • bid25825¢
  • bid35
  • bid106
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.

Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent to the Senate.

opened
Jul 8 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Jul 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXFEDGOVNOM-29-27JUL01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 1 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
19d ago62¢3bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.