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KXFEDGOVNOM·closes in 13mo

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Oct 1, 2027?

YES means Before Oct 1, 2027

24h volume
0
56 lifetime
Open interest
28
Spread
6¢
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
61%

A YES contract costs 67¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
39%

costs 39¢

YES bid / ask
61¢ / 67¢
NO bid / ask
33¢ / 39¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask5098¢
  • ask1,58197¢
  • ask17789¢
  • ask20067¢
spread6¢mid 64¢
  • bid561¢
  • bid20060¢
  • bid28827¢
  • bid1232¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.

Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent to the Senate.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 8 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Oct 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXFEDGOVNOM-29-27OCT01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.