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Who will be the Prime Minister of Fiji after their election?·closes in 17mo

Will Sitiveni Rabuka become Prime Minister of Fiji following the next Fijian general election?

YES means Sitiveni Rabuka

24h volume
0
0 lifetime
Open interest
0
+0 over 30d
Spread
10¢
200 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 81¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 29¢

YES bid / ask
71¢ / 81¢
NO bid / ask
19¢ / 29¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask36298¢
  • ask5297¢
  • ask3796¢
  • ask20081¢
spread10¢mid 76¢
  • bid20071¢
  • bid20020¢
  • bid53819¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Sitiveni Rabuka becomes Prime Minister of Fiji as a result of government formation following the next Fijian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Feb 6, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Feb 6, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 20 · 6:30 PM UTC
closes
Feb 6, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Feb 6, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXFIJIPM-27FEB06-SRAB
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 17¢).

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.