Will Florida’s property tax amendment pass?·closed · YES

Will Florida Amendment 3, “Increased Homestead Exemption; Lower Cap on Increases in Non-Homestead Property Assessments” pass?

YES means Yes

The most interesting Florida contract on the board. A 40¢ price on a measure that needs a 60% supermajority means the market expects majority support but doubts the threshold.
Our read · Sep 20, 2026 · 3 PM ET
24h volume
9,442
167.4k lifetime
Open interest
58.2k
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
50¢ – 99¢
Chance of YES
98%+3

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
2%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
24h low 50¢24h high 99¢

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Florida Amendment 3, “Increased Homestead Exemption; Lower Cap on Increases in Non-Homestead Property Assessments” passes, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

opened
Jul 8 · 3:06 PM UTC
closes
Nov 4 · 6:53 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXFLPROPERTYTAX-26NOV03
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.