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Free IVF·closes in 28mo

Will Trump make IVF free?

YES means Before 2029

24h volume
86
36.7k lifetime
Open interest
6,306
+36 over 24h
Spread
3¢
96 × 4 at the touch
24h range
13¢ – 17¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
13%

A YES contract costs 16¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
87%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask
13¢ / 16¢
NO bid / ask
84¢ / 87¢
24h low 13¢24h high 17¢
Recent buying45% YES · 55% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢15¢20¢volSep 20, 8:09 AMSep 21, 4:20 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,28358¢
  • ask56853¢
  • ask4452¢
  • ask4548¢
  • ask1345¢
  • ask1020¢
  • ask81617¢
  • ask416¢
spread3¢mid 15¢
  • bid9613¢
  • bid9112¢
  • bid1,06211¢
  • bid6309¢
  • bid1718¢
  • bid1.157¢
  • bid16¢
  • bid255¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the President takes an action that eliminates the cost of at least one IVF cycle before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 9, 2025 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 20, 2029 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXFREEIVF-29
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Trump make IVF free?.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 45% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8h ago13¢4bought no
9h ago17¢1.75bought yes
9h ago17¢1.25bought yes
18h ago17¢6.05bought yes
18h ago15¢10bought yes
18h ago16¢5bought yes
18h ago16¢29bought yes
21h ago13¢29bought no
1d ago13¢100bought no
1d ago14¢25bought no
1d ago15¢10bought no
1d ago17¢12bought yes
2d ago16¢20bought yes
2d ago17¢5.25bought yes
2d ago17¢3.7bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.