Will Édouard Philippe qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?
YES means Édouard Philippe
- 24h volume
- 0
- 266 lifetime
- Open interest
- 43
- +0 over 7d
- Spread
- 7¢
- 500 × 10 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 18 recent trades
A YES contract costs 45¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 62¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Édouard Philippe is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
If a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.
- opened
- Jul 10 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Apr 17, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Apr 17, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXFRPRESADVANCE-26APR18-EPHI
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 18 trades, 49% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19d ago | 38¢ | 39 | bought no |
| 21d ago | 38¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 24d ago | 38¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 28d ago | 38¢ | 10 | bought no |
| 28d ago | 38¢ | 57 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 39¢ | 20 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 46¢ | 40 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 46¢ | 20 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 46¢ | 10 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 46¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 45¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 45¢ | 15 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 44¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 45¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 44¢ | 5 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.