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Full term SK Pres·closes in 33mo

Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?

YES means Yes

24h volume
202
23.3k lifetime
Open interest
10.4k
Spread
8¢
15 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
54%+5

A YES contract costs 53¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
46%

costs 55¢

YES bid / ask
45¢ / 53¢
NO bid / ask
47¢ / 55¢
Recent buying23% YES · 77% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2.590¢
  • ask35380¢
  • ask57679¢
  • ask46078¢
  • ask2376¢
  • ask5973¢
  • ask20054¢
  • ask553¢
spread8¢mid 49¢
  • bid1545¢
  • bid20044¢
  • bid1116¢
  • bid805¢
  • bid1,2274¢
  • bid331¢
  • bid8,8880¢
  • bid1,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serves their full term, which ends on Jun 4, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 17, 2025 · 8:45 PM UTC
closes
Jun 4, 2029 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jun 4, 2029 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXFULLTERMSKPRES-29
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 23% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
17h ago50¢5bought yes
17h ago54¢4.32bought yes
18h ago50¢193bought yes
1d ago49¢0.38bought yes
1d ago49¢7.72bought yes
2d ago40¢8.1bought no
3d ago25¢0.62bought no
3d ago41¢200bought no
3d ago9¢8.85bought no
5d ago54¢209bought no
5d ago59¢234bought no
5d ago59¢1bought no
7d ago61¢0.38bought no
7d ago61¢96bought no
12d ago52¢6.95bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.