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Nuclear fusion·closes in 40mo

When will nuclear fusion be achieved?

YES means Before 2030

24h volume
5
30.7k lifetime
Open interest
10.8k
Spread
4¢
411 × 15 at the touch
24h range
29¢ – 29¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
29%+1

A YES contract costs 32¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
71%

costs 72¢

YES bid / ask
28¢ / 32¢
NO bid / ask
68¢ / 72¢
24h low 29¢24h high 29¢
Recent buying23% YES · 77% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5057¢
  • ask2550¢
  • ask4339¢
  • ask50035¢
  • ask0.7534¢
  • ask33733¢
  • ask533¢
  • ask1532¢
spread4¢mid 30¢
  • bid41128¢
  • bid10028¢
  • bid528¢
  • bid50028¢
  • bid50027¢
  • bid8516¢
  • bid8815¢
  • bid9115¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If nuclear fusion is achieved before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 4, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2040 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXFUSION-30-JAN01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 23% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
19h ago29¢5bought no
2d ago30¢35bought no
2d ago28¢68bought no
2d ago30¢479bought no
2d ago30¢5bought no
2d ago30¢21bought no
11d ago33¢8bought yes
11d ago33¢1.5bought yes
11d ago33¢5.75bought yes
14d ago30¢40bought no
14d ago30¢9.92bought no
14d ago30¢4bought no
17d ago33¢80bought yes
17d ago30¢2bought no
19d ago33¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.