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How much will Fyre Fest sell for?·closes in 40mo

How much will a Fyre Festival 2 General Admission Ticket cost?

YES means At least $100

24h volume
0
2,604 lifetime
Open interest
1,678
+790 over 90d
Spread
8¢
100 × 101 at the touch
24h range
–
16 recent trades
Chance of YES
63%

A YES contract costs 63¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
37%

costs 45¢

YES bid / ask
55¢ / 63¢
NO bid / ask
37¢ / 45¢
Recent buying14% YES · 86% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volJul 3Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,11199¢
  • ask10163¢
spread8¢mid 59¢
  • bid10055¢
  • bid1,4842¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the first price announced for a Fyre Festival 2 General Admission Ticket by FF2 Operations LLC is at least $100, then the market resolves to Yes.

If no official announcement regarding ticket prices is made after issuance and before the market’s close, the market will resolve to NO.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 25, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
100
ticker
KXFYREFESTPRICE-30-100
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 16 trades, 14% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
22d ago63¢15bought yes
26d ago64¢15bought yes
26d ago64¢0.38bought yes
26d ago64¢15bought yes
26d ago64¢7.62bought yes
2mo ago57¢85bought no
2mo ago57¢15bought no
2mo ago50¢4.54bought no
2mo ago52¢33bought no
2mo ago54¢3bought no
2mo ago54¢7bought no
2mo ago52¢67bought no
2mo ago54¢88bought no
2mo ago56¢2bought no
2mo ago56¢7bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.