How much will Fyre Fest sell for?·closes in 40mo

How much will a Fyre Festival 2 General Admission Ticket cost?

YES means At least $750

24h volume
0
138 lifetime
Open interest
20
+0 over 24h
Spread
100 × 100 at the touch
24h range
2 recent trades
Chance of YES
60%

A YES contract costs 60¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
40%

costs 48¢

YES bid / ask
52¢ / 60¢
NO bid / ask
40¢ / 48¢
Recent buying13% YES · 87% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 20, 1:10 PMSep 20, 1:58 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask99598¢
  • ask10060¢
spreadmid 56¢
  • bid10052¢
  • bid1,000
  • bid1,111
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the first price announced for a Fyre Festival 2 General Admission Ticket by FF2 Operations LLC is at least $750, then the market resolves to Yes.

If no official announcement regarding ticket prices is made after issuance and before the market’s close, the market will resolve to NO.

opened
Jul 25, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
750
ticker
KXFYREFESTPRICE-30-750
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 2 trades, 13% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8d ago60¢1.62bought yes
2mo ago54¢11bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.