Will Georgia regulators approve 4 more gigawatts of generating capacity?·closes in 18mo

Will the Georgia Public Service Commission announce the certification of at least 4,000 MW in aggregate of new generating or energy storage capacity for Georgia Power — nameplate MW newly approved as supply-side resources under Georgia's integrated resource planning statute, summed across any number of Commission decisions and excluding need findings, RFP approvals, and revisions to previously certified resources before Mar 1, 2028?

YES means Yes

24h volume
0
1 lifetime
Open interest
1
+0 over 7d
Spread
4,082 × 4,343 at the touch
24h range
1 recent trades
Chance of YES
87%

A YES contract costs 86¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
13%

costs 16¢

YES bid / ask
84¢ / 86¢
NO bid / ask
14¢ / 16¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

80¢85¢90¢95¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,05599¢
  • ask2,24398¢
  • ask1497¢
  • ask50087¢
  • ask4,34386¢
spreadmid 85¢
  • bid4,08284¢
  • bid50083¢
  • bid5124¢
  • bid3,82923¢
  • bid20020¢
  • bid6,440
  • bid7,970
  • bid11.5k
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Georgia Public Service Commission announces the certification of at least 4,000 MW in aggregate of new generating or energy storage capacity for Georgia Power — nameplate MW newly approved as supply-side resources under Georgia's integrated resource planning statute, summed across any number of Commission decisions and excluding need findings, RFP approvals, and revisions to previously certified resources — before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Aug 17 · 6:43 PM UTC
closes
Mar 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Mar 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXGA4GW-26AUG-28MAR01
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Georgia regulators approve 4 more gigawatts of generating capacity?.

Recent trades

Over the last 1 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1mo ago87¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.