Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?
YES means Above 5%
- 24h volume
- 16
- 179.4k lifetime
- Open interest
- 30.4k
- +2.73 over 24h
- Spread
- 6¢
- 1 × 980 at the touch
- 24h range
- 27¢ – 36¢
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 38¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 68¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask2,07571¢
- ask1,00067¢
- ask2,00056¢
- ask65651¢
- ask27251¢
- ask20051¢
- ask139¢
- ask98038¢
- bid132¢
- bid2031¢
- bid2129¢
- bid529¢
- bid5425¢
- bid4924¢
- bid4424¢
- bid4724¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If any quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2028 has GDP growth of above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Dec 18, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 26, 2029 · 1:25 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 26, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- floor
- 5
- ticker
- KXGDPUSMAX-28-5
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in Will there be a Trump economic boom?.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 92% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18m ago | 36¢ | 3 | bought yes |
| 18m ago | 36¢ | 4 | bought yes |
| 18m ago | 36¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 3h ago | 35¢ | 2.73 | bought yes |
| 5h ago | 30¢ | 4.26 | bought no |
| 23h ago | 27¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 23¢ | 2.56 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 23¢ | 3.68 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 38¢ | 219 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 38¢ | 70 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 38¢ | 5.13 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 23¢ | 4.53 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 23¢ | 0.6 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 26¢ | 8.6 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 38¢ | 128 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.