galdor.xyz
Admin
Annual GDP·closes in 18mo

GDP growth in 2027?

YES means 2.6% to 3.0%

24h volume
0
2,195 lifetime
Open interest
1,687
Spread
32¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
23 recent trades
Chance of YES
13%

A YES contract costs 45¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
87%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask
13¢ / 45¢
NO bid / ask
55¢ / 87¢
Recent buying82% YES · 18% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00098¢
  • ask1,08297¢
  • ask33796¢
  • ask545¢
spread32¢mid 29¢
  • bid513¢
  • bid10012¢
  • bid12011¢
  • bid956¢
  • bid605¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the United States real GDP growth in 2027 is between 2.6% to 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2027. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2027 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2027 GDP in early 2028. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. All stated bounds are inclusive. For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 8 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Feb 28, 2028 · 1:29 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Feb 28, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
2.6
cap
3
ticker
KXGDPYEAR-27-B2.8
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 77¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 23 trades, 82% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
21d ago13¢133bought yes
26d ago13¢61bought yes
1mo ago12¢63bought yes
1mo ago12¢57bought yes
1mo ago13¢30bought yes
1mo ago13¢40bought yes
1mo ago12¢25bought yes
1mo ago11¢24bought yes
1mo ago9¢14bought no
2mo ago11¢1bought yes
2mo ago10¢13bought no
2mo ago10¢7bought no
2mo ago11¢15bought yes
2mo ago11¢15bought yes
2mo ago10¢2bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.