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Ghana presidency·closes in 40mo

Will Haruna Iddrisu win the next Ghanaian presidential election?

YES means Haruna Iddrisu

24h volume
0
321 lifetime
Open interest
28
+0 over 30d
Spread
8¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
3%

A YES contract costs 9¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 9¢
NO bid / ask
91¢ / 99¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volAug 22Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,000100¢
  • ask5099¢
  • ask5,00097¢
  • ask20097¢
  • ask130¢
  • ask1110¢
  • ask5009¢
  • ask59¢
spread7¢mid 5¢
  • bid51¢
  • bid501¢
  • bid2001¢
  • bid5001¢
  • bid1,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the winner of the next Ghanaian presidential election is Haruna Iddrisu, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 5 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXGHANAPRES-28-HIDD
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 77¢).

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.