Gold Hourly·closes in 3m

Will the gold close price be above 4101.99 USD/ounce on November 04, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET?

YES means Above $4101.99

24h volume
71
71 lifetime
Open interest
71
+0 over 7d
Spread
2¢
518 × 0 at the touch
24h range
83¢ – 91¢
7 recent trades
Chance of YES
90%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
10%

costs 2¢

YES bid / ask
98¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 2¢
24h low 83¢24h high 91¢
Recent buying0% YES · 100% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
    spread–mid –
    • bid51898¢
    • bid55297¢
    • bid58596¢
    • bid44995¢
    • bid2082¢
    • bid20081¢
    • bid3023¢
    • bid50022¢
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on November 04, 2026 at 10:00 PM EST is above 4101.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.

    The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market. NA

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Nov 5 · 1:00 AM UTC
    closes
    Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
    floor
    4101.99
    ticker
    KXGOLDH-26NOV0422-T4101.99
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 7 trades, 0% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    52m ago91¢1bought no
    52m ago90¢24bought no
    52m ago90¢3bought no
    54m ago89¢3bought no
    54m ago83¢3.89bought no
    54m ago87¢5.4bought no
    54m ago90¢30bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.