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Gold Hourly·closes in 45m

Will the gold close price be above 4133.99 USD/ounce on November 04, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET?

YES means Above $4133.99

24h volume
701
746 lifetime
Open interest
368
Spread
3¢
2,050 × 76 at the touch
24h range
–
25 recent trades
Chance of YES
64%

A YES contract costs 76¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
36%

costs 27¢

YES bid / ask
73¢ / 76¢
NO bid / ask
24¢ / 27¢
Recent buying65% YES · 35% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5084¢
  • ask20083¢
  • ask8682¢
  • ask5881¢
  • ask5080¢
  • ask6578¢
  • ask2,13976¢
  • ask5174¢
spread2¢mid 73¢
  • bid2,05072¢
  • bid5568¢
  • bid167¢
  • bid5066¢
  • bid5064¢
  • bid5062¢
  • bid20061¢
  • bid8860¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on November 04, 2026 at 11:00 PM EST is above 4133.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.

The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market. NA

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 5 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
4133.99
ticker
KXGOLDH-26NOV0423-T4133.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 25 trades, 65% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
42s ago64¢37bought yes
2m ago58¢3bought yes
2m ago58¢1bought yes
2m ago59¢4.23bought yes
4m ago63¢1bought yes
4m ago64¢69bought yes
4m ago62¢3bought yes
4m ago63¢50bought yes
7m ago60¢50bought no
7m ago60¢67bought no
8m ago50¢40bought yes
8m ago50¢1bought yes
8m ago52¢50bought yes
8m ago50¢50bought yes
8m ago54¢47bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.