Gold Hourly·closed · YES

Will the gold close price be above 4365.99 USD/ounce on September 20, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET?

YES means Above $4365.99

24h volume
137
137 lifetime
Open interest
113
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
16 recent trades
Chance of YES
99%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
1%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 100¢
NO bid / ask
/ 100¢
Recent buying83% YES · 17% NO

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 20, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT is above 4365.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.

The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market. NA

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 10:01 PM UTC
closes
Sep 21 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 12:00 AM UTC
floor
4365.99
ticker
KXGOLDH-26SEP2020-T4365.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 16 trades, 83% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5h ago99¢22bought yes
5h ago98¢6bought yes
5h ago98¢16bought yes
5h ago96¢10bought yes
5h ago95¢0.49bought yes
5h ago95¢11bought yes
5h ago90¢2bought no
5h ago94¢21bought no
5h ago94¢1bought yes
5h ago94¢5bought yes
5h ago94¢14bought yes
5h ago94¢11bought yes
5h ago74¢0.1bought no
6h ago87¢9.1bought yes
6h ago86¢7.1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.