Gold Hourly·closed · NO

Will the gold close price be above 4375.99 USD/ounce on September 20, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET?

YES means Above $4375.99

24h volume
202
202 lifetime
Open interest
145
+145 over 7d
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
7¢ – 49¢
14 recent trades
Chance of YES
7%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
93%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 100¢
NO bid / ask
/ 100¢
24h low 24h high 49¢
Recent buying43% YES · 57% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 21, 12:00 AMSep 21, 1:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 20, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT is above 4375.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.

The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market. NA

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 10:01 PM UTC
closes
Sep 21 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 12:00 AM UTC
floor
4375.99
ticker
KXGOLDH-26SEP2020-T4375.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 14 trades, 43% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago51bought no
3h ago25bought no
3h ago8.6bought no
3h ago10¢9.4bought yes
3h ago23¢25bought yes
3h ago25¢25bought yes
3h ago26¢12bought no
3h ago31¢2bought no
4h ago42¢24bought yes
4h ago49¢1bought yes
4h ago41¢3.18bought yes
4h ago39¢3.18bought no
4h ago31¢9.6bought no
4h ago31¢2bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.