Gold Hourly·closed · NO

Will the gold close price be above 4379.99 USD/ounce on September 20, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET?

YES means Above $4379.99

24h volume
135
135 lifetime
Open interest
131
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
18 recent trades
Chance of YES
7%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
93%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 100¢
NO bid / ask
/ 100¢
Recent buying31% YES · 69% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 20, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT is above 4379.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.

The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market. NA

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 10:01 PM UTC
closes
Sep 21 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 12:00 AM UTC
floor
4379.99
ticker
KXGOLDH-26SEP2020-T4379.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 18 trades, 31% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago0.55bought no
2h ago7bought no
2h ago10¢1.69bought no
2h ago1.31bought no
2h ago14bought no
2h ago10¢1.31bought yes
3h ago15¢25bought yes
3h ago17¢9bought yes
3h ago17¢2bought yes
3h ago17¢2bought yes
3h ago20¢7.6bought no
3h ago18¢18bought no
3h ago21¢3bought yes
3h ago21¢24bought no
3h ago24¢7.1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.