Gold Hourly·closed · YES

Will the gold close price be above 4361.99 USD/ounce on September 20, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET?

YES means Above $4361.99

24h volume
139
139 lifetime
Open interest
67
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
34¢ – 98¢
21 recent trades
Chance of YES
98%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
2%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 100¢
NO bid / ask
/ 100¢
24h low 34¢24h high 98¢
Recent buying86% YES · 14% NO

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 20, 2026 at 9:00 PM EDT is above 4361.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.

The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market. NA

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 11:01 PM UTC
closes
Sep 21 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 1:00 AM UTC
floor
4361.99
ticker
KXGOLDH-26SEP2021-T4361.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 21 trades, 86% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4h ago98¢5bought yes
4h ago98¢17bought yes
4h ago90¢4.89bought yes
4h ago96¢10bought yes
4h ago69¢1.54bought no
5h ago82¢1.72bought yes
5h ago81¢7.6bought yes
5h ago83¢9.43bought yes
5h ago83¢1.52bought yes
5h ago61¢7.97bought yes
5h ago35¢1.82bought no
5h ago34¢9.1bought no
5h ago37¢7.6bought no
5h ago70¢0.27bought yes
5h ago66¢22bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.