Will golfer win a major by 2030?·closes in 46mo

Will Alex Smalley win a golf major championship after June 22, 2026 and before 2030?

YES means Alex Smalley

24h volume: 0; 8 lifetime
Open interest: 6
Spread: 86¢; 5 × 6 at the touch
24h range: –; 3 recent trades

Chance of YES

60%

A YES contract costs 88¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

40%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask

2¢ / 88¢

NO bid / ask

12¢ / 98¢

Recent buying0% YES · 100% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Alex Smalley wins a golf major championship (including The Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) before 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

A golf major refers to one of the four annual major championship tournaments officially designated by the sport’s governing bodies: The Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, and The Open Championship. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources

opened: Jun 23 · 3:45 PM UTC
closes: Jul 7, 2030 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jun 23, 2030 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXGOLFMAJOR-30-ASMA

Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 3 trades, 0% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
2mo ago	61¢	5	bought no
2mo ago	60¢	1	bought no
2mo ago	61¢	1	bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.