Will government spending decrease by 500 before 2026?
YES means At least 500 billion
- 24h volume
- 0
- 42.9k lifetime
- Open interest
- 7,697
- Spread
- 2¢
- 16 × 4 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 5¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 97¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If government spending decreases by at least 500 billion during Q4 2024 to Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Nov 13, 2024 · 3:00 AM UTC
- closes
- Mar 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Mar 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
- floor
- 500
- ticker
- KXGOVTCUTS-26-500
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 43% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4d ago | 3¢ | 2 | bought no |
| 4d ago | 3¢ | 16 | bought no |
| 7d ago | 3¢ | 7 | bought no |
| 7d ago | 3¢ | 18 | bought no |
| 7d ago | 3¢ | 12 | bought no |
| 7d ago | 5¢ | 18 | bought yes |
| 7d ago | 5¢ | 2.78 | bought yes |
| 7d ago | 5¢ | 122 | bought yes |
| 8d ago | 5¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 8d ago | 5¢ | 12 | bought yes |
| 11d ago | 3¢ | 26 | bought no |
| 11d ago | 3¢ | 7 | bought no |
| 11d ago | 3¢ | 10 | bought no |
| 11d ago | 3¢ | 6 | bought no |
| 14d ago | 5¢ | 19 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.