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Greenland purchase·closes in 3mo

Will Trump buy Greenland?

YES means Before 2027

24h volume
5,438
1.59M lifetime
Open interest
417.6k
Spread
2¢
150 × 239 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
5%+2

A YES contract costs 5¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 5¢
NO bid / ask
95¢ / 97¢
Recent buying56% YES · 44% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask18.7k6¢
  • ask5,7546¢
  • ask2,0006¢
  • ask2,8375¢
  • ask3,5005¢
  • ask1,4415¢
  • ask2265¢
  • ask2395¢
spread2¢mid 4¢
  • bid1503¢
  • bid5803¢
  • bid5,7393¢
  • bid16.3k3¢
  • bid20.1k3¢
  • bid353¢
  • bid4.282¢
  • bid24.9k2¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 10 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXGREENLAND-29-27
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 56% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5m ago5¢100bought yes
51m ago5¢13bought yes
51m ago5¢5bought yes
51m ago5¢48bought yes
51m ago5¢5.43bought yes
51m ago5¢30bought yes
1h ago5¢2.03bought yes
1h ago5¢1.8bought yes
1h ago5¢11bought yes
1h ago5¢0.63bought yes
1h ago5¢5.6bought yes
3h ago4¢9.32bought no
3h ago3¢81bought no
3h ago4¢9.68bought no
3h ago4¢9bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.