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Greenland purchase·closes in 28mo

Will Trump buy Greenland?

YES means Before January 20, 2029

24h volume
3,183
3.50M lifetime
Open interest
324.9k
−9,085 over 7d
Spread
2¢
28 × 92 at the touch
24h range
8¢ – 18¢
Chance of YES
14%+3

A YES contract costs 14¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
86%

costs 88¢

YES bid / ask
12¢ / 14¢
NO bid / ask
86¢ / 88¢
24h low 8¢24h high 18¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
5¢10¢15¢20¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20722¢
  • ask22121¢
  • ask1720¢
  • ask2719¢
  • ask1,00017¢
  • ask14816¢
  • ask11215¢
  • ask9214¢
spread2¢mid 13¢
  • bid2812¢
  • bid10511¢
  • bid1.479¢
  • bid969¢
  • bid4559¢
  • bid1,0009¢
  • bid1008¢
  • bid1,2948¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 21, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXGREENLAND-29
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.