Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before 2029?
YES means Before January 21, 2029
- 24h volume
- 2,908
- 2.89M lifetime
- Open interest
- 361.3k
- Spread
- 1¢
- 9,767 × 5 at the touch
- 24h range
- 15¢ – 21¢
A YES contract costs 16¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 85¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Greenland that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Greenland must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously. Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- opened
- Jan 9, 2025 · 6:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXGREENTERRITORY-29
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.