Habeas corpus·closes in 28mo

Will Trump suspend habeas corpus?

YES means Before Trump's term ends

24h volume
0
3,100 lifetime
Open interest
691
Spread
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
9 recent trades
Chance of YES
13%

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
87%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
/ 13¢
NO bid / ask
87¢ / 94¢
Recent buying68% YES · 32% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the President suspends the writ of habeas corpus before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
May 24, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 20, 2029 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXHABEAS-29
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 9 trades, 68% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago13¢2.25bought yes
1d ago13¢5bought yes
30d ago13¢0.94bought yes
30d ago12¢1.06bought yes
1mo ago1.06bought no
2mo ago13¢8.85bought yes
2mo ago12¢16bought yes
2mo ago10bought no
2mo ago5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.