Will Hasan Piker announce a run for any elected public office before Jan 1, 2027?
YES means Before Jan 1, 2027
- 24h volume
- 0
- 13 lifetime
- Open interest
- 13
- Spread
- 90¢
- 5 × 2 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 4 recent trades
A YES contract costs 94¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 96¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask11099¢
- ask2397¢
- ask2596¢
- ask595¢
- ask294¢
- bid54¢
- bid2.053¢
- bid1001¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, Hasan Piker publicly announces that they will run for any elected public office in any year and the announcement is reported by a Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.
The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources. The announcement may concern any elected public office in any election year.
- opened
- Sep 2 · 3:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXHASANRUN-AR-27JAN01
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 4 trades, 15% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 97¢ | 2.05 | bought yes |
| 12d ago | 2¢ | 5.22 | bought no |
| 12d ago | 3¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 17d ago | 7¢ | 1.07 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.