Hasan Piker announces a run for public office·closes in 16mo

Will Hasan Piker announce a run for any elected public office before Jan 1, 2028?

YES means Before Jan 1, 2028

24h volume: 0; 3.48 lifetime
Open interest: 1.16; +1.16 over 90d
Spread: 96¢; 5 × 1.16 at the touch
24h range: –; 3 recent trades

Chance of YES

A YES contract costs 98¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

96%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask

2¢ / 98¢

NO bid / ask

2¢ / 98¢

Recent buying0% YES · 100% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask10099¢
ask1.1698¢

spread96¢mid 50¢

bid52¢
bid1001¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, Hasan Piker publicly announces that they will run for any elected public office in any year and the announcement is reported by a Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.

The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources. The announcement may concern any elected public office in any election year.

Settlement sources

opened: Sep 2 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes: Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXHASANRUN-AR-28JAN01

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Before Jan 1, 202797¢

Recent trades

Over the last 3 trades, 0% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
12d ago	4¢	1.16	bought no
15d ago	17¢	1.16	bought no
17d ago	15¢	1.16	bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.