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who will headline event·closes in 16mo

Will The Smashing Pumpkins be a headliner at 2027 Minnesota Yacht Club Festival?

YES means The Smashing Pumpkins

24h volume
287
4,087 lifetime
Open interest
587
Spread
1¢
8,843 × 2,652 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
13%−4

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
87%

costs 88¢

YES bid / ask
12¢ / 13¢
NO bid / ask
87¢ / 88¢
Recent buying38% YES · 62% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,82056¢
  • ask1,06055¢
  • ask70652¢
  • ask14251¢
  • ask8950¢
  • ask10024¢
  • ask25017¢
  • ask2,65213¢
spread1¢mid 13¢
  • bid8,84312¢
  • bid2857¢
  • bid3336¢
  • bid4495¢
  • bid3754¢
  • bid6353¢
  • bid2,7582¢
  • bid13.0k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If The Smashing Pumpkins is the a headliner at 2027 Minnesota Yacht Club Festival, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 19 · 1:21 AM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXHEADLINE-MIN27DEC31-SMA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 38% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
46m ago13¢6.6bought yes
21h ago16¢100bought no
21h ago16¢180bought no
9d ago17¢20bought yes
9d ago17¢180bought yes
14d ago16¢600bought no
14d ago17¢400bought yes
14d ago17¢200bought yes
14d ago17¢400bought yes
14d ago17¢200bought yes
14d ago16¢600bought no
14d ago16¢600bought no
14d ago16¢7bought no
14d ago16¢6bought no
14d ago16¢7bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.