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who will headline event·closes in 16mo

Will Vampire Weekend be a headliner at 2027 Minnesota Yacht Club Festival?

YES means Vampire Weekend

24h volume
1,936
1,936 lifetime
Open interest
897
+850 over 90d
Spread
2¢
5,119 × 67 at the touch
24h range
7¢ – 14¢
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%

A YES contract costs 11¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 91¢

YES bid / ask
9¢ / 11¢
NO bid / ask
89¢ / 91¢
24h low 7¢24h high 14¢
Recent buying35% YES · 65% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,83948¢
  • ask9047¢
  • ask4746¢
  • ask25016¢
  • ask1,10015¢
  • ask50014¢
  • ask1,33112¢
  • ask6711¢
spread2¢mid 10¢
  • bid5,1199¢
  • bid3,5008¢
  • bid9007¢
  • bid3336¢
  • bid4005¢
  • bid5254¢
  • bid6803¢
  • bid1,2452¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Vampire Weekend is the a headliner at 2027 Minnesota Yacht Club Festival, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 19 · 1:21 AM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXHEADLINE-MIN27DEC31-VAM
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 11 trades, 35% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago12¢200bought yes
1h ago10¢47bought yes
1h ago9¢20bought yes
1h ago9¢219bought yes
1h ago9¢0.01bought yes
1h ago9¢200bought yes
16h ago7¢200bought no
16h ago14¢500bought no
16h ago14¢300bought no
16h ago14¢50bought no
16h ago14¢200bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.