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Will Vampire Weekend be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?

YES means Vampire Weekend

24h volume
2,759
2,849 lifetime
Open interest
1,000
Spread
3¢
1,932 × 1,155 at the touch
24h range
–
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
9%

A YES contract costs 10¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
91%

costs 93¢

YES bid / ask
7¢ / 10¢
NO bid / ask
90¢ / 93¢
Recent buying45% YES · 55% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask15082¢
  • ask69059¢
  • ask1,61447¢
  • ask1,53145¢
  • ask343¢
  • ask1,72913¢
  • ask35012¢
  • ask1,15510¢
spread3¢mid 9¢
  • bid1,9327¢
  • bid2,0006¢
  • bid9005¢
  • bid5004¢
  • bid1,6793¢
  • bid7422¢
  • bid1,5511¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Vampire Weekend is the a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 18 · 11:47 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXHEADLINE-NOLA27DEC31-VAM
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 17 trades, 45% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
15m ago9¢229bought yes
15m ago9¢0.01bought yes
15m ago9¢200bought yes
9h ago9¢150bought yes
9h ago10¢50bought yes
13h ago9¢50bought yes
13h ago9¢150bought yes
15h ago8¢50bought yes
15h ago8¢100bought yes
21h ago6¢28bought yes
21h ago7¢200bought yes
21h ago7¢52bought yes
21h ago12¢1,000bought no
21h ago12¢500bought no
15d ago9¢30bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.