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who will headline event·closes in 16mo

Will The Revivalists be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?

YES means The Revivalists

24h volume
4,915
12.1k lifetime
Open interest
3,041
+266 over 7d
Spread
11¢
20 × 2 at the touch
24h range
43¢ – 73¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
43%−39

A YES contract costs 37¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
57%

costs 74¢

YES bid / ask
26¢ / 37¢
NO bid / ask
63¢ / 74¢
24h low 43¢24h high 73¢
Recent buying28% YES · 72% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask7566¢
  • ask20065¢
  • ask5163¢
  • ask12862¢
  • ask46940¢
  • ask43539¢
  • ask1838¢
  • ask237¢
spread11¢mid 32¢
  • bid2026¢
  • bid2,22325¢
  • bid1,30015¢
  • bid2046¢
  • bid2,0185¢
  • bid7,8303¢
  • bid8,0702¢
  • bid6,5901¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If The Revivalists is the a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 18 · 11:47 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXHEADLINE-NOLA27DEC31-REV
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 28% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
13h ago61¢1,000bought no
13h ago61¢0.01bought no
13h ago61¢50bought no
13h ago43¢122bought no
13h ago62¢9bought no
13h ago61¢50bought no
13h ago61¢300bought no
14h ago63¢300bought yes
14h ago63¢50bought yes
14h ago63¢50bought yes
21h ago73¢200bought no
21h ago73¢784bought no
21h ago62¢200bought yes
21h ago62¢1,000bought yes
21h ago62¢16bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.