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Heisman Trophy Winner·closes in 2mo

Who will win Heisman Trophy?

YES means Darian Mensah

24h volume
39.0k
2.24M lifetime
Open interest
1.44M
Spread
3¢
314 × 421 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
29%−5

A YES contract costs 32¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
71%

costs 71¢

YES bid / ask
29¢ / 32¢
NO bid / ask
68¢ / 71¢
Recent buying29% YES · 71% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask24639¢
  • ask1,84038¢
  • ask1,76537¢
  • ask26336¢
  • ask19335¢
  • ask13534¢
  • ask12933¢
  • ask40232¢
spread3¢mid 30¢
  • bid31429¢
  • bid2,06028¢
  • bid35.5k27¢
  • bid31025¢
  • bid20024¢
  • bid6.223¢
  • bid62322¢
  • bid4821¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Darian Mensah wins the College Football Heisman Trophy in the 2026-2027 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 5 · 5:15 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXHEISMAN-27-DMENS
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 147¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 29% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8m ago29¢83bought no
9m ago29¢208bought no
22m ago32¢5.96bought yes
32m ago30¢146bought no
32m ago29¢39bought no
32m ago30¢83bought no
32m ago30¢208bought no
32m ago29¢569bought no
40m ago30¢32bought yes
40m ago30¢24bought yes
40m ago30¢0.94bought yes
40m ago32¢36bought yes
40m ago31¢21bought yes
40m ago30¢281bought yes
44m ago30¢16bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.