Highest temperature in Miami·closed · NO

Will the maximum temperature be 84-85° on Sep 20, 2026?

YES means 84° to 85°

24h volume
0
32.8k lifetime
Open interest
29.3k
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the maximum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Sep 20, 2026, is between 84-85° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 19 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 21 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 7:00 PM UTC
floor
84
cap
85
ticker
KXHIGHMIA-26SEP20-B84.5
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 104¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1mo ago1¢748bought yes
1mo ago1¢94bought yes
1mo ago1¢94bought yes
1mo ago1¢94bought yes
1mo ago1¢94bought yes
1mo ago1¢0.93bought yes
1mo ago1¢187bought yes
1mo ago1¢47bought yes
1mo ago1¢94bought yes
1mo ago1¢33bought yes
1mo ago1¢33bought yes
1mo ago1¢18bought yes
1mo ago1¢47bought yes
1mo ago1¢94bought yes
1mo ago1¢374bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.