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Number of major hurricanes·closed · YES

Will there be more than 0 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

YES means Above 0

Flip it: a 60% chance the season ends with zero Category 3+ storms. 'More than 1' is 23¢. Reinsurance desks will remember this year.
Our read · Sep 20, 2026 · 3 PM ET
24h volume
0
46.1k lifetime
Open interest
12.6k
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
99%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
1%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
Recent buying0% YES · 100% NO

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 0 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 1 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Oct 12 · 8:01 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 2 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
0
ticker
KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01-T0
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 0% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
23d ago99¢122bought no
23d ago99¢94bought no
24d ago99¢9.91bought no
24d ago99¢3.65bought no
24d ago99¢21bought no
24d ago99¢28bought no
25d ago99¢19bought no
25d ago99¢120bought no
25d ago99¢178bought no
25d ago99¢468bought no
25d ago99¢241bought no
25d ago99¢2.88bought no
25d ago99¢12bought no
25d ago99¢94bought no
25d ago99¢30bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.