Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 1000 as of October 31, 2027?
YES means Above 1,000
- 24h volume
- 0
- 620 lifetime
- Open interest
- 207
- Spread
- 3¢
- 64 × 0.99 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 7 recent trades
A YES contract costs 40¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 63¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask20080¢
- ask5179¢
- ask978¢
- ask1277¢
- ask20043¢
- ask52542¢
- ask11441¢
- ask0.9940¢
- bid6437¢
- bid55036¢
- bid55034¢
- bid9322¢
- bid3821¢
- bid4319¢
- bid23217¢
- bid1413¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call is above 1,000 as of October 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Aug 17 · 6:52 PM UTC
- closes
- Oct 31, 2027 · 1:59 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 29, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
- floor
- 1000
- ticker
- KXIDGROUNDWATER-26AUG17-A1000
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 7 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9d ago | 36¢ | 6 | bought no |
| 15d ago | 39¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 15d ago | 32¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 15d ago | 32¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 17d ago | 30¢ | 0.99 | bought no |
| 17d ago | 31¢ | 6 | bought yes |
| 18d ago | 30¢ | 6.99 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.