Will the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call be above 900 as of October 31, 2027?
YES means Above 900
- 24h volume
- 0
- 575 lifetime
- Open interest
- 542
- +0 over 24h
- Spread
- 22¢
- 5 × 5 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 6 recent trades
A YES contract costs 70¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 52¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask1,47796¢
- ask8095¢
- ask20092¢
- ask35078¢
- ask2177¢
- ask25072¢
- ask67871¢
- ask570¢
- bid548¢
- bid1047¢
- bid65446¢
- bid20145¢
- bid5043¢
- bid10039¢
- bid3237¢
- bid35036¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call is above 900 as of October 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Aug 17 · 6:52 PM UTC
- closes
- Oct 31, 2027 · 1:59 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 29, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
- floor
- 900
- ticker
- KXIDGROUNDWATER-26AUG17-A900
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 6 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9d ago | 54¢ | 25 | bought yes |
| 9d ago | 54¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 9d ago | 54¢ | 100 | bought yes |
| 9d ago | 54¢ | 217 | bought yes |
| 19d ago | 54¢ | 17 | bought yes |
| 28d ago | 53¢ | 17 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.