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President impeached·closes in 3mo

Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2027?

YES means Before Jan 1, 2027

24h volume
1,581
1.52M lifetime
Open interest
520.1k
−243 over 24h
Spread
1¢
3.81 × 3,138 at the touch
24h range
2¢ – 4¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%+0

A YES contract costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 3¢
NO bid / ask
97¢ / 98¢
24h low 2¢24h high 4¢
Recent buying46% YES · 54% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 20, 4:36 AMSep 21, 4:35 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,0364¢
  • ask6904¢
  • ask9.44¢
  • ask1354¢
  • ask2.234¢
  • ask17.1k4¢
  • ask4,1934¢
  • ask3,1383¢
spread1¢mid 3¢
  • bid3.812¢
  • bid112¢
  • bid1512¢
  • bid1,2922¢
  • bid172¢
  • bid1732¢
  • bid3,2182¢
  • bid7.342¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the President of the United States has been impeached before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The President must hold the office when an impeachment resolution passes against him or her .

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 13, 2025 · 1:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXIMPEACH-27-JAN01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 46% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago3¢12bought yes
3h ago3¢28bought yes
3h ago3¢14bought yes
3h ago3¢1.44bought yes
3h ago3¢13bought yes
6h ago3¢10bought yes
6h ago2¢10bought no
6h ago2¢1.44bought no
6h ago2¢3.56bought no
7h ago3¢138bought yes
7h ago3¢1.44bought yes
7h ago2¢120bought no
8h ago2¢30bought no
9h ago2¢84bought no
9h ago2¢0.78bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.